Judgment Memory for Teams

Turn past decisions into reusable judgment memory

Past Self Advises Present Self.
On-prem, offline-first. Your data never leaves your network.

The Problem

Corporate Amnesia: The โ€œwhyโ€ behind decisions gets buried in documents and disappears when people leave.

Teams waste hours re-researching context that already exists somewhere, scattered across emails, notes, and forgotten files.

Our Approach

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CJR Structuring

Convert past decisions into structured, searchable judgment records (Context-Judgment-Reasoning).

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Decision Navigation

Ask a question, get relevant past cases and a structured decision framework. Not more raw documents.

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Offline-First

Runs locally on your machine. Your judgment data never leaves your network. Full data sovereignty.

Live Product Preview

What Deep Mode Actually Produces

A real scenario query and the structured output your team receives. Not a chatbot response โ€” a decision-ready framework.

Scenario Query
Required

Should we reduce duration exposure ahead of the March FOMC given mixed inflation signals and current yield curve positioning?

Conditions

Core CPI at 3.2%, above Fed 2% target
10Y Treasury yield at 4.35%
Market pricing 62% probability of rate hold

Evidence Sources

Q4 Duration Strategy Report p.8
Bloomberg: UST Curve Analysis
FOMC Minutes Jan 2026

Decision BrainJDG-20260305-042
FastDeep
Deep Mode
Last sync: 2:34:17 PM
Input Summary
Condition
Core CPI at 3.2%, above Fed 2% target...
Scenario
Should we reduce duration exposure ahead of the March FOMC...
Matched Library3 matches
CJR-2024-087
Duration cut ahead of Sep'24 FOMC
ratesdurationfomc
94%
CJR-2024-051
Yield curve steepener Q2'24
ratescurvepositioning
81%
CJR-2023-112
Duration neutral stance Dec'23
ratesdurationfed
73%
Decision Hinge

February CPI print direction relative to 3.0% threshold and whether the dot plot signals a shift in the median rate path for 2026 H2.

Executive Summary

The current macro setup presents a genuine tension: sticky inflation argues for duration reduction, but the market is already positioned for a hawkish hold. Historical CJR analysis shows that pre-FOMC duration cuts in similar conditions (CJR-2024-087) delivered modest alpha only when CPI surprised to the upside. The yield curve's current shape and real rate levels suggest the bulk of the duration repricing has occurred. A measured approach โ€” holding current positioning with a defined switch rule โ€” balances conviction against unnecessary trading costs.

Scenario Options
Option A
Option BREC
Option C
Option A
Trigger: CPI > 3.4% or 10Y > 4.55%
Risk: Whipsaw if FOMC signals dovish tilt; transaction costs erode alpha on reversal
Option B
Trigger: Current levels hold; CPI 3.0-3.3%
Risk: Underperforms if inflation re-accelerates sharply; opportunity cost if rates spike
Option C
Trigger: Curve flattening > 15bp in 2s10s spread
Risk: Complexity in execution; basis risk between short and long positions
Recommended: Option B
Historical pattern match favors holding when market-implied probability already reflects hawkish outcome.
72%
Debate Compression
Agree:Market has already priced hawkish hold; additional duration cut offers diminishing marginal alpha.
Disagree:Sticky services inflation could force a more aggressive Fed stance not yet reflected in term premium.
Hinge:Feb CPI services component trajectory โ€” re-acceleration above 4.5% YoY invalidates the hold thesis.
Kill Switch
STRICT

Immediately reduce duration by 1.5Y if 10Y UST breaks above 4.75% on a closing basis or if February CPI core prints above 3.5%.

Monitoring Checklist
Track Feb CPI release (Mar 12)
Monitor 10Y yield vs 4.55 level
Review FOMC dot plot vs Dec projection
Switch Rule

B โ†’ A if CPI core > 3.4% or 10Y closes above 4.55% for 3 consecutive sessions. B โ†’ C if 2s10s flattens below -25bp.

Unknowns
  • โ€ขTariff policy impact on import prices not modeled
  • โ€ขBOJ policy shift could inject external vol into UST market
  • โ€ขFiscal spending trajectory for H2 2026 unknown
Confidence
Analysis confidence
72%

Actual Deep Mode output from Wiserbond Nexus. The 3-column dashboard runs entirely on-premise โ€” your judgment data never leaves your network.

Built For

Investment teams, strategy groups, and risk committees who need to preserve and reuse judgment, not just store documents.

Interested?

We're looking for teams who want to pilot judgment memory in their workflow.
15-minute conversation. No pitch deck, just questions.

Request a 15-min Interview